09 July, 2018 - Foreign Trade Expectation Survey (FTES) reflects assessments of Turkish foreign trade depending on recent and current situations along with future expectations of leading firms. Particularly, it helps to produce indices which can be stated as leading indicators.
Export Expectation Index increased by 10.7 points to 118 in the 3rd quarter of 2018 from 107.3 in the 2nd quarter of 2018. Diffusion indices of Survey questions composing the Export Expectation Index show that, in the 3rd quarter of 2018, in comparison to the 2nd quarter of 2018, expectations regarding the level of export for the next 3 months, the level of current export orders, export orders belonging to the last 3 months and expectations for the export orders of the next 3 months have increasing effect over the Index.
Import Expectation Index increased by 11.5 points to 113.1 in the 3rd quarter of 2018 from 101.6 in the 2nd quarter of 2018. In the 3rd quarter of 2018, in comparison to the 2nd quarter of 2018, among the survey questions identifying the Import Expectation Index, current level of import orders, the expectations regarding the level of import for the next 3 months and unit import price for the next 3 months have increasing effects over Index, while level of import orders of the last 3 months has decreasing effects over Index.